Well that depends. If it's a 20 year old truck with 200,000 plus miles on it you are right. But if it's a 20 year old truck lightly used with say 150,000? I'd say that was a short life for the tranny. Long as it doesn't sit for long periods light use it should last well past 20 years without issue is say you only drive 5K a year.
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Today's Featured Article - New Hitches For Your Old Tractor - by Chris Pratt. For this article, we are going to make the irrational and unlikely assumption that you purchased an older tractor that is in tip top shape and needs no immediate repairs other than an oil change and a good bath. To the newcomer planning to restore the machine, this means you have everything you need for the moment (something to sit in the shop and just look at for awhile while you read the books). To the newcomer that wants to get out and use the machine for field work, you may have already hit a major roadblock. That is the dreaded "proprietary hitch". With the exception of the
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