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Tractor Talk Discussion Forum

Gas/Oil - demand

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Hayman

04-12-2005 07:09:58




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The thread before got me thinking on this topic.

When will the price of gas effect the general public's driving habits??

The US fleet passanger vehicle average MPG has dropped since 1986 when the Reagan Administration rolled back mandated light-vehicle efficiency standards.

We have more high tech cars and trucks but on average we're using more fuel per mile! Problem is sport utility and light truck sales are about half of all passenger vehicle sales. Compared to the mid 80's I guess.

I know some people that went for a holiday in California a couple weeks back. They said they never seen so many Hummers in thier life as they did driving around on the streets down there. Along with other large vehilces used to carry passagers only.

Its no different here people like the sport Utility 4x4 vehicls and trucks for city driving. Many probably never get put to work in 4 wheel mode.

Are pickup trucks aka family grocery haulers just a western thing? Out here in western Canada its pretty common for city folk to use pick up trucks for hauling the kids around town. Friend of mine from out east said its not like that there. Though it may have changed since he moved out west.

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Mark - IN.

04-13-2005 04:06:18




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
Whether or not anyone owns a 4x4 truck, SUV, or whatever THEY choose to own and drive with THEIR monies, is small potatos. What is affected is delivering goods to stores and what not, which affects the economy as a whole by driving the prices up for those goods. That translates to folks no longer buying many products that they can nolonger afford because the rising fuel cost are inherited by them through shelf price, which trickles down to jobs for products nolonger selling or what not.

If someone has a vehicle with 6 hemis or diesels that gets 20 gallons per mile and can afford to drive it, it's their money, not mine. They unemployed families down the road is a serious problem though. Just my two cents.

Mark

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FLYROD

04-17-2005 13:07:46




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Mark - IN., 04-13-2005 04:06:18  
MY MAIN CONCERN IS THE AMERICAN FARMER. I FIRMLY BELIVE THAT OUR GOVERNMENT IS TO STUPID TO REALIZE THE EFFECT OF HIGH FUEL PRICES. WHO IS GOING TO FEED THE USA AND THE REST OF THE WORLD WHEN FARMERS CAN'T AFFORD TO "FARM" BECAUSE OF THE PRICE FUEL WILL BE. WE SHOULD STOP BUYING FUEL FROM ANY COMPANY THAT IMPORTS IT'S OIL FROM THE ARAB STATES.DO SOME RESEARCH ONLINE. YOU WILL BE SURPRISED WHO DOES AND WHO DOES NOT. HELP THE "AMERICAN FARMERS"!!!!! BE SELECTIVE IN YOUR NEXT FUEL PURCHASE.

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Hayman

04-13-2005 06:59:40




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Mark - IN., 04-13-2005 04:06:18  
If the general public reduced its use of fuel would it not effect the demand of fuel some what?

Then would it not be cheaper for transport trucks, or the taxi driver, or the school bus driver etc.



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Mark - IN.

04-13-2005 10:16:20




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-13-2005 06:59:40  
Actually, I think that it's more of a supply and demand issue. China's buying up reserves worldwide as fast as it can be pumped. Europe's a big user of diesel, and it's at a premium cost. Our oil companies can get more for their buck buy selling to both of them, and can raise the prices to North America accordingly. I believe it's more of a "pay what we want", or we'll sell to them.

It's nice that congress is going to allow "test" drilling in Anwar to begin in 10 years. Very nice. Doesn't do squat now. And the next question about the Anwar oil, if it does turn out to be such a great find, as predicted by some, is "Where is that oil going to end up?". The oil from the pipeline that was intended to alleviate the high prices and shortages in the US after the 70's oil embargo is EXPORTED to countries such a s Japan - None of it is used domestically, it's all exported.

I don't truely believe that your, my, or anyone elses use is going to do anything to lower the prices.

I forget the percentages, but a few weeks ago crude dropped from a "then" all time high of $58 dollars per barrel to $53 per barrel, yet the price at the pumps did not go down accordingly, or linearly to how they go up every time that there's a raise. And prices do go up the same day at the pumps that the price goes up per barrel, and I'm referring to fuel already in underground tanks at gas/fuel stations. When asked why that is, the oil companies say because at any given time, there's only a days worth of refined fuel on hand, so the prices must go up accordingly. Then why isn't the converse true as well? When the price of crude drops by a certain percentage, does it not go down by a similar percentage, instead of a fraction of the percentage that it went up? And how did the oil companies know enough at the beginning of the year to predict that prices at the pump would hit $3.00 per gallon by summer? Based upon what? Why do prices at the pump typically go up Thursday nights before "payday" and the weekend, then often show a slight decrease on Mondays when folks aren't out driving about like they would be on weekends? I don't see the prices of crude going up on Thursdays and dropping on Mondays.

I often wonder if it's not manipulated with our government's blessing. Some of the same Congressmen and Senators whom complain the most about the oil companies take some of the largest campaign contributions from those same oil companies. On one hand, you have those that have either direct ties to oil companies, or friends whom are. On the other hand, you have those that are also lining their pockets with monies from Greenpeace and the likes, so high prices lead to the common folk downsizing vehicles, tools, etc, and they get what they want too, thanks to the cost of fuel. They're laughing all the way to the bank, you, I our neighbors are getting stung. Multimillionaire politicians with multi-million dollar "war/treasure chests" on their pay? How does that happen?

Mark

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jughead

04-12-2005 15:49:08




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
never criticize a farmer with your mouth full nor the price of gas when climbing into a behemouth. Americans would spend the money on something else-if not gas we are no longeran investment society and have little personal finiance ability-just shoot the moon.



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Rod in Smiths Falls, ON,

04-12-2005 15:57:43




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to jughead, 04-12-2005 15:49:08  
"Never criticize a farmer with your mouth full."

That's pretty good, Jughead.



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toomanycases

04-12-2005 14:35:00




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
My $.02 worth. I had a 1948 nash 600 new and it got about 22-25 mpg. No power house but it did run forever with a 22 gallon tank. Fuel cost about 28 cents/gallon. My old 89 van gets 18 mpg and that is nursing it. Tell me aout the improvements for today??? I can afford it but that doen't make me like it. Yes if you can afford the price of gas how you use it is your business, but unfornately it becomes mine too now what with all the cars on the road today. Pollution being just one of the problems. Stuck in 10 mile long traffic jams is another. So yes the Hummers & big SUVs and others do cause all of us problems

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Matt from CT

04-12-2005 12:43:58




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
I wonder...

I wasn't old enough during the last gas crisis to know much about car buying habits then. I do remember the lines and license plate ending in an even number go on tuesdays and such...

I do know cars cost a lot more today.

I think they cost a lot more relative to income, too. (If nothing else, there's the story I read that a farmer used to figure he could buy a new pickup by selling a single steer...)

I also know I now see such abominations as six and seven year car loans. Ok, so most people don't drive like me...but if you have to spread out payments over seven years, can you even afford a sudden repair bill when the car gets that old?

Where I'm going is...how many of these people who bought gas-guzzling status symbols are now stuck in a loan they're upside down on?

I'm thinking (semi-elders help me out here) you had more flexibility in the 70s to buy a new, more efficient car if you wanted to.

Today, many more people are going to be stuck with a vehicle they can't get away from. And of course that has less demand, so they'll take an even bigger hit if they do sell or trade it...

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dhermesc

04-12-2005 13:44:39




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Matt from CT, 04-12-2005 12:43:58  
When I was a child in the early 70's I remember used Cadillacs, Chryslers and Lincolns priced lower then Chevettes and Pintos the same age. When a 2002 Ford Focus is selling for more then a 2002 Ford Excursion we might have something to worry about when it comes to fuel prices.

Most of the people I see complaining about filling their fuel tank justify their "need" for their pickup/SUV because it pulls their boat/jetski/Harley around. Go cry on somebody else's shoulder.

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Jeff C

04-12-2005 12:19:13




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
I had a good laugh over the comment about never seeing a Hummer with dirt on it...how true. It never ceases to amaze me how some people are convinced they need a four wheel drive vehicle, yet NEVER need four wheel drive. I saw a Detroit auto "expert" on PBS the other day mentioning that unless gas goes to $4 per gallon, and stays there, that the average consumer's buying habits will not change appreciably. He claims that people are used to gas prices going up but they always seem to come back down to a "reasonable" level. But with an increasing demand in places like China, I'm thinking gas prices are definately on the rise. Some financial experts saying the other day in print media that they wouldn't be suprised to see oil hit $100/barrel! Tell me it ain't so!!!!!

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Lou

04-12-2005 10:05:53




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
Ive owned a few big name gas guzzlers in my day, they were pretty luxurious and comfy, but when I see a HUMMER in city trafic ??? Well mabe I should just go home and laugh to my self.



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rpg52

04-12-2005 09:51:44




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
If we lived in a perfect world, what our neighbor does wouldn't have any effect us. Unfortunately we live in a very imperfect world where we breath the same air, live in the same climate, share the same water, drive on the same roads, etc. The market is going to determine that we no longer will have cheap oil and water, which will change everything. One response is to go to war and take the oil from those that own it, another is to reduce consumption. Which do you suppose will result in a more pleasant place to live?

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Matt from CT

04-12-2005 12:35:18




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to rpg52, 04-12-2005 09:51:44  
>One response is to go to war and take the oil >from those that own it,

And in the process, collapse the world economy. That's not going to happen -- well, at least as likely as seeing the U.S. start to print money in order to pay the national debt. Either one would have similiar effects of seizing the engine of the world economy. Cause in either case, it won't matter what it costs to commute, most of us wouldn't have jobs.

> another is to reduce consumption

Which along with alternatives to petroleum is the only viable offset to petroleum usage and stabilize prices.

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Red Dave

04-12-2005 09:29:59




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
I don't see the big deal about somebody owning a 4X4 and not going off-road. What vehicle somebody else owns and where they drive it is no business of mine. If someone can afford to own a Hummer and drive it in city traffic doesn't concern me at all. When the price gets too high and they can't afford it anymore, they will stop. That is called market forces.

If my neighbors want to go for groceries in a Toyota, a pickup truck or an 18 wheel Kenworth, it makes no difference to me.
Ya want to haul your kids to soccer practice in a greyhound bus? Go ahead, it's your money you're spending.

I'll drive what I choose, when and where it pleases me and I expect others to do the same.

Just because somebody else can afford things I can't doesn't mean they have no right to spend their money however they want to. It's all part of living in a country based on individual freedoms. The rest of the world just doesn't understand that.

It would be nice to be free from busybodies and self-righteous finger waggers too.

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wv_Kevin

04-12-2005 20:47:53




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 09:29:59  
I don't get it! I drive my 2002 powerstroke and the wife drives her 2001 supercrew and we are not in any way rich! Red Dave is right with his views. If this is a farm/ tractor thread why the hype? I can not see you pulling a stock trailer or one loaded with hay with any 30-40 mpg car! it aint going to happen!!! I have been out of real work going on three years so I know we are not well off! Drive a new gas powered car and be holy dose not cut on a site dedicated to old tractors that suck gas like mine dose. Yea I have a newer one that is much less thirsty. Before you get me cring I would ask what happened to gasahaul and alternitive fuel sorces?
IF you are still reading who is supporting nascar and the fuel to see go to these races? Camping, who is to tell someone that they can not? I think you guys should look in the mirror and take a CLOSE look! I honestly hope that I have not stepped on too many towes, but the truth tends to sting.
THANK YOU, FROM A PO BOY FROM A PO COUNTY IN A PO STATE!

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Hayman

04-13-2005 06:52:57




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to wv_Kevin, 04-12-2005 20:47:53  
Rich has nothing to do with it. As long as people can afford the lease payments one can drive darn near anything.

You have purpose or need for your truck in order to work.

Most here are refering to cases where people drive a 4x4 powerstroke strictly as a passagner vehicle never intending to us it for pulling a trailer etc.

Which of course is thier business. But the point I was making is if fuel sky rockets with $100/barrel oil that is predicted will they keep on driving the gas guzzlers?? When fuel costs more than the truck payment (for a passanger vehicle) it gets kinda scary!

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WV_kevin

04-13-2005 23:33:17




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-13-2005 06:52:57  
Ok, I know what you are telling me. Like I said I do not want to step on anyones toes. WE all can do our part. In the 70's my dad would not give up his v8, In the 80's he went to a 4 banger. We all change I guess. The price of fuel fuel hurts all of us, and with planting and hay comming it is going to get worse.Produce and products will rise before long and nothing will be cheap anymore. I want you to know that I point no fingers at you, I just wantd to blow off some steem about those that would tell us all how to live! Take care, Kevin

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JoeMN

04-12-2005 12:35:26




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 09:29:59  
Individual freedoms? The freedoms you thought were guranteed by the federal government are being re-defined by the very market forces you laud. The question now will be, How much freedom can you afford? Higher energy prices will change where the middle class lives, how they get to work,heat their homes,travel,enjoy recreation etc. The person driving the hummer will always be able to afford the fuel,because it is such a small percentage of a wealthy class income. Fuel price increases will continue until those least able to afford it drop out of the market. The Chinese and Indian economies,newly enriched by th USA's huge trade deficit,are easily able to outbid us in the world oil markets. The poverty we thought was confined to third world countries will be right here at home.

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Hayman

04-12-2005 11:46:53




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 09:29:59  
No one said you couldn't drive your "city 4x4" if you so choose.

There is all kinds of news coverage and people b*tching on the radio regarding pump prices.


So my point was how high can gas go before it starts to hurt people's bank account to drive gas guzzlers....$3-4$ gallon??? Will it take $6 gallon fuel to make the auto market shift to vehicles with better milage??

We could save billions of gallons of fuel in North America by simply drving a bit smaller more fuel efficient vehicles.

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cannonball

04-12-2005 15:30:37




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 11:46:53  
you don't have to go too small hayman..just got back from trip..averaged over 30 in the largest buick about 24 25 around town...my sister in law has a caddy that averages 30 around town and it is a big car...i saw a lot of suvs and diesel rigs...none running speed limit..i did.. probably made some truckers mad lol love the additude i can afford it..so screw the rest of the world..got lost of people that work their butt off for 5.50 to 7.00 bucks an hour around here...to many coming from border for wages to get very much better,,, but we will all be equal some day...have nice one may god bless

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Hayman

04-12-2005 16:32:39




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to cannonball, 04-12-2005 15:30:37  
I agree totally! My father has a Buick Regal with the 3800 in it. It has lots of power and on the highway cruising it does 40 mpg! He harding drives his pickup anymore unless he has to haul something as it uses twice as much fuel.

I presently have a minivan. ON the highway it gets about 30 mpg. Around town it drops off quite a bit. The van uses twice as much as my old VW jetta turbo diesel I used to have.

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Pawel

04-12-2005 11:43:12




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 09:29:59  
Hi Red Dave,

The point about having a big 4WD in the city and not using it is that is wastes alot of fuel.

Today we hear so much about pollution and reducing it, ie carpooling, emissions testing etc, it gets people that they've gotta go through all of this to drag the pollution DOWN, and some guy is going around wasting fuel pullling the pollution and fuel usage of the country UP.

I know it's his own business, even so when you think about it on a big scale...

God bless,

pawel

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Red Dave

04-12-2005 12:18:53




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Pawel, 04-12-2005 11:43:12  
My point is that if somebody bought and paid for that fuel, it is theirs to use or waste as they see fit. It's nobody else's business.

Supply and demand will set the price. I'll decide how I spend my money, you decide for yours.



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Pawel

04-12-2005 18:30:57




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 12:18:53  
Hey Dave,

I believe I made it clear that it was their own business in my posting, maybe you missed that sentence. However, I did say that the guy going around with a huge truck for no reason is hurting others than himself.

You have to draw the line somewhere, do you think someone should be allowed to buy a whole tanker of fuel and burn it by the gallon in his back yard for no reason until it's all gone? It's his own fuel and he paid for it, but should he be allowed to do this?

No, he shouldn't be allowed it's harming other people by what he's doing for no reason. Now I don't think that someone should be prevented against having big trucks when they don't need them, but I think I've made my point clear.


God bless,

Pawel

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Red Dave

04-13-2005 06:07:01




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Pawel, 04-12-2005 18:30:57  
Oh yes, you have made your point quite clear.

You want to tell others what they can or can't do.

"It's his own fuel and he paid for it, but should he be allowed to do this?" is the response of someone who has the desire to control others.


If you don't like what somebody does with their fuel or their vehicles, buy it all for yourself and do whatever you want to do with it. Otherwise it's no business of yours.

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Pawel

04-13-2005 06:32:41




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-13-2005 06:07:01  
Hi Dave,

It's not that I want(or want anyone else to) tell people what to do, but it's unChristian for someone to do just as they please and not care whether they hurt anyone else (in however small a way) in the process. The mentality "just because I bought it it's mine so I can do what I want with it-if it harms someone else-what the hey, they shouldda kept outta my way" is a very non - Christian attitude, and in my opinion in our Christian country shouldn't be present.

Anyway, I didn't mean to start an argument, but I just wanted to let you know my point of view :)

God bless,

Pawel

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Red Dave

04-13-2005 08:52:33




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Pawel, 04-13-2005 06:32:41  
I find it sad that you would use the word Christian to espouse a blatantly dictatorial viewpoint.

You are entitled to your point of view, but fortunately, you have no right to impose it on me.



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JOE#1

04-12-2005 18:21:28




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 12:18:53  
hey dave,

its not their own business, it's all our problem cause we gotta all live in the same world- if i buy some gas and want to dump it inta the river, i cant pollute the river just cause i bought and paid for the gas. i cant do it caus it affects other people.

ya gotta think of that .

later,

ryan



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big fred

04-12-2005 11:18:20




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Red Dave, 04-12-2005 09:29:59  
Dave, Dave, Dave, next thing you'll be telling us it's okay to shop at Walmart or use made-in-Taiwan tools. ;o)



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RustyFarmall

04-12-2005 07:47:41




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Hayman, 04-12-2005 07:09:58  
What's really screwed up about this whole fuel economy thing is the fact that even with the computer controlled, fuel injected engines of today, we still are not getting any better fuek mileage than we did 30, 40, or even 50 years ago. The first car I owned was a 1960 Chevrolet Bel-Air 4 door. Big, heavy, and comfortable, plenty of room for 6 people, could squeeze in 8 if they were friendly. This car was equipped with the 283 ci V8, rated at just under 200 hp. It would perform on a par with anything we have today, and get an easy 20 to 22 mpg doing it. We are not progressing, we are moving backwards.

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lgc

04-12-2005 18:05:41




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to RustyFarmall, 04-12-2005 07:47:41  
I had a new 1964 6 cyl chevy II nova. Got 20mpg hwy. We thought that was good. My current 04 lasabre will easily get 28-30 hwy. Its a big improvement over a 64 nova, THats for sure. And better than most of the v8 i have owned since.



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JDknut

04-12-2005 14:49:43




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to RustyFarmall, 04-12-2005 07:47:41  
You're forgetting one thing about the cars not progressing is that in 1960, 100,000 miles on a vehicle was a big deal and they rusted out like crazy. Today, 200,000 miles is routine, and the bodies hold up longer. But then, since today's cars carry real estate prices, I guess we should expect that. Just my $0.02.



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hay

04-12-2005 10:36:56




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to RustyFarmall, 04-12-2005 07:47:41  
i gotta agree that the 1950"s and 1960"s era cars were big and comfortable. however, i don"t think i ever saw a car from that era that got more than 15-16 mpg and that was considered excellent. although, i did own a 1968 mercury cougar that got a whopping 19 mpg..... once. even a volkswagen that got 18-20 mpg was doing really great. only thing i like about today"s fuel injection is no warm up time... just start up and go and no stalling out, but performance is just NOT on the par with the older autos. ah, the days when detroit built them big 420 hp v-8 engines that would really guzzle the gas. maybe get 2-5 mpg, if that much. i guess that"s why we are paying the price for our foolishness now.

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RustyFarmall

04-12-2005 12:17:54




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to hay, 04-12-2005 10:36:56  
Detroit did not build those 400 HP monsters until the late 60s into the 70s, and the real reason they got such poor fuel mileage is because the epa demanded lower pollution, which required detroit to include the anti-pollution equipment. This equipment did nothing more than choke the engine down so it absolutely could not run efficiently.



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Lou

04-12-2005 07:57:24




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to RustyFarmall, 04-12-2005 07:47:41  
Cost me $57. to fill up my F150 last week, probly more this week. I feel like voting my pocket book which aint very fat. Never saw one of those Hummer with dirt on it. Lou



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Rod in Smiths Falls, ON,

04-12-2005 16:07:58




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 Re: Gas/Oil - demand in reply to Lou, 04-12-2005 07:57:24  
One of the funniest things I have seen on a road was a Hummer coming out of the 2003 International Ploughing Match parking lot with two bright pink handicapped scooters in the back.



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