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Grain markets

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Dan

07-17-2004 06:21:34

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What happened to the grain markets and do you think they'll just keep going lower?????

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Bob

07-18-2004 20:08:34

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Re: Grain markets in reply to Dan, 07-17-2004 06:21:34

While 1000's of things drive the markets, as of late it has been 1) Some large contracts being sold on the Board, thus the diff from cash to Board and 2) Very up and down results from Brazil on what they are shipping out. There was a rumor of a very large export going to China, indicating they may be an importer again for a year or so.

I agree with $3.00+ corn. I have sold any and all beans I have (had) and will hold corn as long as I can.

Just my opinion of course

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Leland

07-17-2004 18:36:15

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Re: Grain markets in reply to Dan, 07-17-2004 06:21:34

Prices staying decent here in central ILL B&N SANTA FA RR just built a handling plant here. To ship corn to texas and mexico and they will take anything bacause it all goes for feed. scared the heck out of ADM they bought consolidateds grains rail shipping hub out side of springfield just to keep corn in Decatur . B&N already loaded about 15-20 100 car trains since early june. archy is scared

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Shane

07-17-2004 12:25:57

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Re: Grain markets in reply to Dan, 07-17-2004 06:21:34

Same thing that happens every year. Rains a bit here and there and suddenly we have a record expected yield! I blame the yuppies on Wall Street who are playing the markets to make money. They control the price really. But think about this, when is the last time that most all cash price bids on beans were about 30 cents over board of trade price? I seriously think that the big processors claim to have a lot of on hand beans to drive the price down till they can buy enough to last another month. The big question is are there any left out there? So who has any and how many do you have? We are at the lowest ever carry over and running at near high demands with not much potential for a perfect growing year. Yet beans have plummeted over the last week or so. I see one t-ed off bull just waiting to get out and run again but someone else must know better than me! If we only knew for sure how easy and rich we could be, ha ha!

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paul

07-17-2004 06:55:12

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Re: Grain markets in reply to Dan, 07-17-2004 06:21:34

I expected beans to drop & keep dropping through harvest - more or less.

I expected corn to bounce over $3.00 on weather scares, but the boys in Chicago keep seeing rain on the weather maps so they figure we have a bin-buster corn crop.

Actually here in my part of Minnesota, we have lots of drowned out corn & uneven, yellow spots..... Hope for 75% of a real good crop....

--->Paul

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txblu

07-18-2004 05:18:17

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Re: Re: Grain markets in reply to paul, 07-17-2004 06:55:12

I was told when I was younger that corn used more water than most field crops. Then recently I read an ag report stating just the opposite.

How does moisture play into your corn production?

Thanks,

Mark

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paul

07-18-2004 08:13:42

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Re: Re: Re: Grain markets in reply to txblu, 07-18-2004 05:18:17

Corn needs a lot of rain at the right times. Setting & filling that ear of corn requires a lot in mid summer. As well, corn grows _very_ rapidly during warm humid times, to reach for the sky. Corn is a grass, so it likes the same things your lawn likes - N fertilzer, and water.

However, I live in a real wet spot, we get 35" of moisture a year, have heavy dark soils with a yellow clay layer for several 100 feet of subsoil.

Common wisdom is an inch of rain a week to make good corn during growing season.

I get much better yields with .5" with my local soils.

This summer have averaged nearly 2".

I have a lot of dead corn. No life preservers.

--->Paul

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