Solar electric panels - huge price drop . . .

JDemaris

Well-known Member
If anybody has wanted to buy some solar panels, but thought the price was too high - there's been an incredible price-drop on some. Partially due to the bad economy in Europe, several countries are cancelling their "incentive" programs and there's now a glut of panels.

3-4 years go, large panels were priced around $4 per watt, and smaller panels even higher. Last set of 120 watt/12 volt panels I bought were close to $500 each. Last week they were $170 each.

Now there are many for sale as low as $1.20 per watt, which is amazing. I suspect they'll never be this low again, but who knows?

Places like SunElec in Miami Florida have most of the best deals I've seen. I have absolutely nothing to do with them, but included their link for anybody that might be interested.


http://www.sunelec.com/
 
A couple of factors going on. Spain was the world leader in solar and wind because of huge subsidies. But now Spain is trying to avoid going bankrupt and has cut the subsidies, which left a big hole in the solar and wind markets.

Combine that with China trying to buy market share by providing big subsidies to their solar panel manufactures and you have the glut we're in now.

I wouldn't be surprised if the prices continue to drop as China drives the price as low as necessary to dominate the market and subsidies in other countries continue to dry up.
 
Yes, I heard China has been buying up rights all over the world to scarce resources/minerals used in components e.g. photovoltaics. Seems they can certainly afford it at present. Wonder what will happen once that have a near monopoly on such things?
 
Tom H put it well in a nutshell. He did fail to mention that a lot of the equipment coming out of china is junk, unconfirmed production capabilities, uncertified by third party US or European testing agencies such as SRCC, UL, and NREL and may not meeting cimpliance for net metering. We as dealer/installers in NY have to provide 5yr. parts and labor warranty. We can't sell cheep non certified equipment for grid tie systems, as they won;t even be accepted by the utilities. If one is an off grider and does his own installs, do what ever, and live with the consiquences.Just last week our business insurance provider of 20 years told us that if we were activly installing PV on homes they were dropping us. Fortunatly we sub most of that, But "What's with That? So much for the red umbrella. I'm not criticising here but as the old saying goes, "You Get What You Pay For" do your home work before buying, and yes prices are coming down on good quality equipment at the moment. Not only the US has lost jobs to China and feeling the pinch. No labor unions and EPA in China.
 
Panels are getting easier to install to. Several companies sell smaller complete systems appliances) you just plug into the wall. They have an embedded power optimizer, monitor and inverter.

Excerpts from Solar Edge Tech.

To eliminate risk of electrocution at times of installation, maintenance and firefighting, PowerBoxes shut down each PV module's DC voltage as long as the inverter is deactivated or AC power is disconnected. The PowerBoxes will also shut down the modules immediately when electric arcs or high temperatures are detected to prevent fire.
They can also be monitored via over the power lines
 
(quoted from post at 18:32:30 10/22/10)

Wonder what will happen once that have a near monopoly on such things?


One word answer, three letters, starts with "w" and ends in "r".
 
"Getting what you pay for" is not always true -especially with solar power. I tried to avoid filling up my post with details that won't mean much except to a few people . . . but I'll add some now.

Yes of course some Chinese stuff is junk. Same with some USA components. To the converse, some of it is great quality from any country. If someone has interest, research needs to be done, as I hope many would do with buying anything.

In regard to "non-certified" panels", it is NOT always a matter of quality and they are NOT always foreign. Some of the best buys I've gotten in the past few years were manufactured in the USA, in Massachusetts by Evergreen. When they get "factory seconds" with slight cosmetic issues, they tend to ship them overseas to sell. That so they don't compete with themselves. These "blemish" panels are tested at 100% rated output, come with 100% warrranty, but do not come with the UL label (some do). So, with no label, you can still qualify for all Federal incentives, but cannot for New York incentives. Grid-tie with most power companies also allows the cheaper panels. All they care about is the end-product making perfect AC power, and therefore a certified inverter setup.

Now, about the New York State incentive program. For the most part, it is one huge scam on the tax-payers. I'm not trashing the NY certified installers. Some are good and some are 100% clueless. But that goes with just-about any trade.
I have personally spoken with the woman that runs the program for New York and she is an idiot with little technical knowledge. That is the woman with the initials "A.F." at NYSERDA - i.e. "New York State Energy Research and Development Authority." Note the word "Authority" at the end. That makes it another State taxing agency without using the word "tax."

I've been messing with solar-electric for 30 years and have watched the amazing mess government has made of it.

Here's what happened when I wanted to install my first grid-tie setup here in New York.

First - New York requires that you MUST use only installers certified by the State to qualify. OK. Back in 2006, the great State of NY had 70 certified installers, and a population of 18,200,000 people. I.e., one installer for every 257,000 people. Think there was a monopoly?

Second - Since, as a "customer", you were forced to use a certified installer, you were also forced to do things the way THEY wanted to, and often pay very high mark-up on parts, and extremely high labor rates.

Third - At the very same time, other states with incentive programs were allowing customers to "self buy" and "self install." That includes California, and NY neighbor - New Jersey (New Jersey's Clean Energy Program). So, if you were in NJ, you could shop around for the best deals and sometimes save half the cost of components. And with self-install?? Worked out fine. In NY and NJ, regardless of who does the job, it has to be inspected by an independent inspector AND the power company. Note I have seen MANY fail that were done by certified NY installers.

This idea of having to use a certified installer is rediculous. Many have few skills and many have no history in electric wiring.

One ancecdotal story - my first grid-tie. OK, I priced it out. If non-grid, I could install at 1/4 the cost, but I'd be wasting a lot of power I couldn't store. I had four different NY certified installers come here and give estimates. All four estimated my useage and needs wrong. They also had huge mark-up on parts - mainly because they were all buying pre-fab kits from Sunwize in Kingston (just another middleman making money on sales). And, my best guess for the labor rate they were charging was somewhere around $450 per hour. Pure scam, in my opinion.
What I did was this. I found a new company with two newly certified installers hungry for work. First, I talked them into hiring me as a "sub-contractor" to work on this install at my own home. Then, I told them I'd buy all the components and they said I was not allowed. So ?? I contacted the State Senator and had a big go-aorund with the energy-program leader at NYSERDA. I finally prevailed and bought all the stuff myself. I also designed my entire system - it was not a store-bought prefab from Sunwize.
Next issue was "shut-down." Most systems installed MUST shut down all solar power if the grid is down. Sorry, that makes little sense to me. Install a $40,000 system and have no power when you need it most? So, I designed my system so it WOULD work, and still comply with power company regs. That led to another politcal fight, but again I won.
OK. Then the guys - reluctantly came to do the job. I am a licensed electrician, they had NO wiring credentials or real experience BUT they were State certified. I worked along side them. They were making many stupid mistakes and when I told them, they got a bit angry - so I backed off. When all done, the job failed inspection because of their wiring mistakes. Improperly buried wire, wrong type connectors on copper to aluminum splices, etc. So, the inspector came twice and I fixed all the screw-ups.
When all done, it wound up my plan and solar-array size was 100% correct and the four intallers were ALL wrong, and their suggestions would of been too small. They all said a 3800 watt array was all I needed and qualifed for. I installed a 5400 watt system and that worked out perfectly to meet required output specs per year.
So much for "experts" and getting "what you pay for."

Anecdotal NY story #2. Again in NY. An elderly friend of mine decided to "go green." He hired installers, got NY incentives and put in a huge system. Close to a $60,000 price-tag. NOTE: NY rules say once you get the incentive money, you must keep ownership for at least 2 years - or - you have to pay it all back. OK. He installed and four months later decided to move. So, he sold the house (along with the $60,000 system). What happened?? NOTHING. The leader of NYSERDA did not want to deal with the paper-work, and did nothing to get the money back. YOUR tax dollars - NOT at work.

Again, I'm not saying there aren't some good installers out there. And, if you are a person without skills - and want to install solar and save some money - and have somebody else do all the work - then the program is probably for you.
You will get money back - that is forcibly taken from other tax-payers and electric-rate payers.

One added comment. An off-grid install is MUCH cheaper. Often 1/4 the cost for the same power made. Even the modified-wave inverters are 1/4 the cost and are actually MORE efficient then the expensive full sine-wave inverters. Big problem is - if you are installing in a place like NY that is dark and gloomy much of the year . . . you need a way to make a lot of power when the sun shines, store it, and use it when it's dark and gloomly. Thus the reason for grid-tie. Power company takes your extra power and lets you have it back when you need it. At least in NY, the company has to pay you for any overage. In Michigan, the power company gets to resell it to others and keep the money.

Back to square-one here. In regard to the cheap solar panels I mentioned. All come with a full 20 year warranty. Now, will those companies still exist in 20 years? Who knows, but you can say the same for all the high-priced panels also. The reality is, solar panels don't just "fail." They can lose output and usually can be repaired. I've fixed many. Mostly due to tree-branches hitting them, and not from normal use-failures.
 
Some of the newer systems run very high panel-voltage - close to 400 volts DC. Thus the shut-down concern.

On low voltage systems running 12 or 24 volts, there's little concern about panel shut-down.

That being said, in NY, code requires ground-fault breakers for roof-mounted panels.
 
that is forcibly taken from other tax-payers and electric-rate payers
Other than this statement, pretty interesting. Isn't that how everything is funded and started, the Armies, retirements etc. Our whole country is business run so our Government can't go out and buy up precious metals like China, we have to wait till businesses decide it's a good idea and can make a profit off it. Nothings done for national security.
To put in two cents on other comments, we're at a stalemate with china, they can't take over or do detrimental stuff to our country without hurting theirs, bout like killing the host to get rid of parasites.
 
I'm not sure what, in general, you are saying . . .

Are you saying it's OK with you, that most electric-company customers paying electric bills - are being charged every month for the few that have solar?
Same goes with anybody that pays State and/or Federal taxes.

For myself, I see the USA military as a bit more essential then somebody installing solar because they want to "look green." And yeah, not all people do it for that reason; I certainly don't.
I did it for security reasons and independence. But, even that is unsure. By Federal Law, if there's an emergency and big power outage, FEMA can come and seize my equipment for the "greater good."

I see the solar incentive program working similar to the way Welfare does. It eliminates incentive for people to do it on their own and they rely on the government instead.

Not everything gets started because of government support. In the case of the solar industry, many people who have specialized in off-grid power for many years have lost business and some have gone bankrupt - because of the incentive programs favoring grid-tie ONLY. Tell me how that makes sense.
 
I sent you an email. Not sure if it'll work, since none ever get to me through this forum.

Are you sure you haven't already been to my place? Are you a alternative-energy salesman? I'm only-half kidding. A few years back, there were only two certified solar installers in the central Adirondack region, and both came to my place to give estimates. Both were incorrect about several things, also - including how much I needed in a array, use of AGM batteries, etc. One place was Triangle Electric, based in Plattsburgh. Can't recall at the moment what the other place was. Maybe Bannertown Power and Light from Mayfield?? I know one of the reps was an "older fellow" around my age, and not a young kid.

Triangle advertises as being "Run by a woman." Not sure why they include that info?? Their banners reads "NYS Certified Woman-owned Business Enterprise."

http://trianglesystems.com/plattsburgh-ny-solar-energy-contractors.htm
 
What is the bottom line with solar panels? Please someone do the math for me. My last electric bill, the average price per kw/hr was $.115. Last month's bill was $60. How long would it take to pay to convert over to solar, including batteries, inverters, up all keep, life of batteries and so on?
 
Where I live in NY, the actual cost of electric is around 18 cents per KWH, even though they list the charge per KWH much lower. All that counts is the montly bill with all fees added. You claim to be using around 522 KWH per month by your figures. Here in central NY, 522 KWH for one month gets billed around $90.

Depends much #1 how money is actually coming out of your own pocket, and #2 what part of the country you live in. There are places in the southwest that can make the same power with 1/2 the equipment, as compared to some dark areas in the northeast.

From the numbers you posted, your monthly average useage is 522 KWHs. That is about same as my average production from a 5200 watt solar-array in one of the darkest areas of New York. My out-of-pocket expense was around $8,000 - but I could of done it cheaper if I did not install battery-backup. Total system cost to all involved totaled around $30,000.

If you got enough State and Federal incentives to keep the cost at around $8000, you can do the math. It's like prepaying your electric bill for 10 years. And, if anything fails after 5 years, you've got to foot the bill to repair.

If you don't get any cash incentives, I don't think it's worth your while unless you live in a very sunny area.

Few people that I've met install solar thinking they're going to save any money. It's more about having independence, being able to live in non-grid areas, "locking in" your power bill and/or never getting price hikes etc. And yeah, a few wealthy people do it just for fun and to look "green."
 
A high school built in the early 70's had battery back up emergency lighting. This system was designed to provide a small amount light for 90 minutes in every room and hall for the 4.5 acre building. After about 5 or 6 years the lead acid batteries were junk. At a hugh expense, they replaced them. Again they didn't last long. They finally got rid of the expensive batteries and inverter and put flashlights in every room. What type battery do you use and how long will they last?

Will your solar cells run a 3 ton A/C without batteries? Or can it power up a 5 hp air compressor or a welder? In the winter I use electric heat, up to 20 kw-hr. So, if you do the math, how pratical are solar cells for me? I'm not aware of any tax incentives in Indiana.
 
If you're really interested, you need to do your own reseach. There is a lot to know.

In regard to batteries, there is no better buy on the planet that old-fashioned flooded lead-acid batteries. As far as lasting a long time? Longevity comes with price. You can buy a 7 year battery for $140, or a 15 year battery for $300, or a 20 year battery for much more. In the end, the 7 year lead-acid batteries are just about always the best buy. A decent set of true deep-cycle flooded lead-acid batteries will usually last 10 years. I suspect your school may not have equalizied them every 6 months, or maybe just wasted money on inferior batteries. I'm surpised they didn't waste even more tax dollars on absorbed-glass-mat versions (AGMs).

I've got (at home) Rolls-Surette batteries from Canada - the best FLA batteries in the world. I've got their 10 year versions, that often last 15 years. Up north at a solar powered cabin I've got, I use Trojan T-105 batteries "golf cart" batteries. They are 8 years old right now and still working fine.

How come your school didn't just install a back-up generator - so they could not use it when power is out and give everybody the day off - like our's does?

You don't run appliances directly from solar panels except with a few exceptions. They are there to make power off and on, not steadily and consistently. If you have grid-tie, you can use all the power you want. It comes from the power company when a high surge is needed, and then the solar panels "pay them back" over time. The power company acts like your own huge "private battery bank."

I've got a 220 amp welder and a 6 horse air comppressor and can use both from my battery bank- via my dual inverters (10,000 watts, 220 volts). I probably never would, but I could. If power was out, and my battery bank was running the house - and then - for some reason I felt a need to run my air compressor AND welder . . . I'd fire up my 17KW diesel generator or hook my tractor to my 15KW PTO generator.
 

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