fall corn and soybean prices

Just curious what many of you are using as your
"estimated" grain sales prices for this coming
year. Have a couple friends using $4.20 for
corn and $10.50 for beans, but do you think
they will get there, real -basis prices, not
CBOT prices? I think, with out bad weather
event this summer, droughts/flooding, I expect
corn to be <$3.50 by harvest locally, and beans
between $8-$9.50. Pretty hard to pencil out a
profit with the input cost's staying the same
or rising from last years cost's.
 
What do you figure your bpa would need to be to make money on 3.50 corn? For me it would have to be above 150 bu and that is not super easy on our soils. I think you're right, I would figure for corn around $3.50 and beans around $9. I don't much care, I don't hardly plant much corn anymore (just enough to pick some to grind for pig feed) and very little beans.
 
They had on our ag news today with next falls projected prices there would probably over 3 million acres this year that would not be planted to one of the 8 major crops.
 
I didn't pay that much attention. After he said corn, beans & wheat it didn't make me any difference but cotton was also mentioned.
 
I don't see prices looking good for this fall. I know several guys with bins full of corn and beans they are sitting on waiting for the price to go up. A nephew erects bins in west MN, ND and SD. They are still working putting up more and more bins. Seems a lot of guys sitting on that grain need more storage for the coming year. No granted that a lot of those guys out there are farming in the thousands of acres but they too are sitting on grain. Eventually they will have to have income so it will get sold. When they start selling any gains in prices will get knocked back. I don't see much improvement for the next couple of years.

Rick
 

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