USDA report on 2012 drought

JerryS

Well-known Member
None of this will likely be news to those of you who actually grow stuff, but I’ll pass it along anyway. My paper ran an AP story covering the USDA’s final report on 2012 crop losses attributed to drought.

Calling 2012 the worst U.S. drought since the 1950s, USDA said that losses were heavy, primarily in corn, which was down 27 percent from the agency’s estimate at the time of spring planting. The actual harvest was 10.78 billion bushels.

However, the report said that the 2012 corn crop was one of the largest in history, due primarily to crop technology improvements (drought resistance) and the mere fact that a huge number of acres were planted---97.2 million acres, the most since 1937. The fact that some growers had record crops provides no comfort to those who watched their plantings turn progressively browner and crisper through the growing season.
 
Wait until NEXT year. I hear from many reliable sources that we should expect something to the tune of 100 mil acres of corn in 2013. Big crop could bring back $4 corn. (or worse) That coupled with inflated land prices, we could see a repeat of the 1980's materialize right before our very eyes.
 
Yup.

Very dry 'here' but doesn't matter until May. Dripping rain outside right now, turning to snow tho and should be minus 15 to minus 20F by Monday.

Anyhow, subsoil is bone dry, has been for going on 3 years now. 2011 we got dumped on and drowned out in June, in 2012 we got dumped on and drowned in May. Other than those 2 months, as dry as its ever been in my lifetime, just no rain or snow to speak of.

Be interesting what this year brings.

Farm economics are all goofed up, a calm return to $4 corn would be good for everyone. And yes, I have a little bit of in priced corn from last year, see if it goes up yet..... But realistically, we need a tad lower and stable markets for the livestock guys to make a better go of it.

Paul
 
We've had close to 8" of rain in the last 2-1/2 weeks. Several decent rains before that. Sub soil moisture almost back to normal levels, but not quite. I'm not willing to bet the ranch on anything to do with the weather though. We've had all sorts of extremes, wet, dry, hot, cold.

We had 3 of the driest months on record in a year that was the wettest on record here just 2 years ago. Then the wettest April on record last year which was the driest year ever here.

I don't like the term "global warming", but climate change is hard to deny. I do believe it's a normal cycle of change though, and not some man made weather fiasco Al Gore discovered. Weather on this planet has changed and evolved since the biginning of time. No reason to believe it won't continue to change.
 
you may be right but do you really think the things that you buy or pay for in regard to inputs,rent, tires, food, seed, machinery ect. that has gone up with corn and soybeans will come down, not until they don't have no choice and the time in between isn't going to be good for anyone dependent on daily market prices
 
Still dry in most of Nebraska, Kansas and Oklahoma. It seems the last several years the winter sets the stage for the summer. A wet winter means a wet spring and summer. Given this year's lack of rain and snow (10 day forecast shows nothing) .2 this month to date. Went through all of November without a drop - a couple inches of snow in December. October was nearly as bad.
 
According to Grand Rapids, MI news we're 30" below normal snowfall, after a record dry summer. I think drought is here for another year unless something changes drastically.
 
In my part of pa, its mostly ear corn, but 4 dollars would make any farmer I know sel, if you have a truck to haul it with that is
 

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